|Hydrological Outlook for July 2015|
The latest predictions for UK precipitation favour near- or below-average rainfall during July and for July-August-September as a whole.
Groundwater levels in June exhibited a very similar pattern to recent months: below normal levels in parts of the southern and eastern Chalk contrasted with normal levels elsewhere in the aquifer. Levels in other aquifers were mostly normal or below, except in some Permo-Triassic boreholes where exceptionally high levels persist.
This pattern is likely to continue through July, with recessions largely unaffected by summer rainfall. Over the three month timeframe (Jul-Sep), model projections suggest that groundwater levels in some areas with below normal levels may be trending towards the normal range. However, analysis of historical analogues suggests that this may be unrealistic and that below normal levels in Wessex and the Yorkshire Chalk are likely to persist into early autumn. The onset of the recharge season is likely to be delayed in areas in which below normal levels persist in the longer term.
For further information see the full Hydrological Outlook for July.